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Turkmenistan > Impacts By Sectors > Forestry

СТРАНОВОЙ ПРОФИЛЬ

Туркменистан

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Forestry

Turkmenistan has limited forest coverage (9%).  Hotter temperatures will cause a shift in the ecological zones of the country and the likelihood that pest / diseases damage large swaths of forest areas. Similar to the agriculture sector, greater temperatures will hamper forest growth. Furthermore, although the expected increase in precipitation over Turkmenistan might provide a positive impact, the increase in the frequency of extreme precipitation events will equally negatively impact these parts of the country, as the risk of soil erosion caused by flooding will also increase.

Some of the most direct impacts that climate change might have on the forestry sector in Turkmenistan are listed below:

Increased heat patterns will result in additional incidence of pests and disease. Heat also contributes to a shift in ecological zones and causes more stress on the ecology. The margins of forest growth are expected to be reduced, with an increase in wildfire incidence.

The increase in precipitation that is expected throughout Turkmenistan will positively affect the forest areas.

Heavier precipitation events will result in increased runoff and the associated risk of soil erosion.  Less water is expected to infiltrate to the aquifer, increasing the risk of waterlogging.

Over the long-term, the increase in the frequency and severity of droughts will cause a reduction in the forest growth, with increased incidence of wildfires.

Sector Vulnerability

Forestry in Turkmenistan will experience a shift in the eco-zoning to colder areas (especially in the mountainous regions) and an elevate risk of pests and disease as result hotter temperatures and pronounced drought periods.